Always continue the climb. It is possible for you to do whatever you choose, if you first get to know who you are and are willing to work with a power that is greater than ourselves to do it. We are taught you must blame your father, your sisters, your brothers, the school, the teachers - but never blame yourself. Learn from the past, set vivid, detailed goals for the future, and live in the only moment of time.
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By Howard Schneider
Oct 22 (Reuters) - Weekly data on the U.S.
recovery remained tepid as the coronavirus pandemic continued a fall surge across much of
the United States.
Estimates of retail foot traffic from Safegraph website and Unacast website based
on cell phone data gathered by the company,
both turned higher over the past week.
But visits to restaurants fell, according to data
from reservations site OpenTable website and employment estimates from time management firms Homebase website and
UKG website both declined.
Chmura website Economics estimates showed job openings at about
three fourths of their predicted level absent the pandemic,
unchanged from the week before.
An Oxford website Economics broad index of the economic recovery fell slightly,
and has remained at about 80% since late August, evidence that shoppers and business
owners may have found their balance - for now - between commerce and the risks posed by the pandemic.
Economic growth continues but a "mid-year sprint has slowly morphed into an early-fall trudge," Oxford Economics chief U.S.
economist Gregory Daco wrote.
The message from high frequency and other data remains mixed.
This week, Daco noted, while indexes of demand and employment increased slightly,
"the health situation is deteriorating rapidly, with coronavirus infections rising in 40 states - threatening the foundation of the recovery."
The 7-day moving average of daily new infections is back above 60,
000, and pointing towards its summertime peak of nearly 70,000.
The economy's performance in the next few months will
determine whether it gets through the pandemic with few long-term scars, or with
deep wounds to its job market, outsized numbers of women and Blacks sidelined from work, and local communities struggling through the loss
of businesses small and large.
Next week the United States will issue its first estimate of gross domestic product for the
three months from July through September.
It is likely to show a record-shattering bounceback
from the historic crash in the economy from March through June.
The jobless rate has fallen fast. After hitting 14.7% in April it
was 7.9% as of September. Goldman Sachs economist Ronnie Walker said he felt that
"signs of long-term damage to the economy remain surprisingly limited so far," with
most of those who have lost jobs since February still describing their work outage
as temporary, overall commercial bankruptcies still lower
than last year, and consumers still spending.
But after the headlines about the booming third quarter pass,
attention will turn to what happens from October to December and beyond - how people respond to winter months with a virus still circulating
and less chance to socialize outside, and whether the presidential election leads to clearer
direction for the country's health and economic policies, or more gridlock
and uncertainty.
The country likely ended September several million jobs and
about half a trillion dollars of output short of where
it was at the end of 2019, a large hole to fill.
The number of new filers for unemployment insurance in the week
ended Oct. 17 did fall below 800,000 for just the
second time since March, when a national state of emergency was declared.
But it remains above the high point of the last recession in 2009, and more then three times the weekly level before the pandemic.
"The labor market is far from being out of the woods,"
wrote Indeed Hiring Lab economist AnnElizabeth
Konkel.
(Reporting by Howard Schneider; Editing by Dan Burns and Andrea Ricci)
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